Bird’s the Word

turkey1I wish the bald eagle had not been chosen as the representative of our country; he is a bird of bad moral character; like those among men who live by sharking and robbing, he is generally poor, and often very lousy. The turkey is much more respectable.

Benjamin Franklin

 

Consider the humble turkey, the most delicious and least appreciated creature that ever graced a platter.

Each Thanksgiving, thanks-giving Americans roast, deep-fry, smoke and scarf a whopping 45 million gobblers weighing in at a staggering 525 million pounds of succulent pass-the-gravy. Statistics detailing what percentage of that great mountain of poultry disappears on the last Thursday in November, as opposed to how much of it assumes a second career in turkey sandwiches, turkey casseroles, turkey enchiladas and open-faced turkey surprise with micro-waved cranberry chow-chow, are unavailable. But if the noble turkey plays a starring role in countless holiday suppers, for the rest of the year it’s mostly an un-credited extra – the mystery meat in your heart-smart hotdog, or the oversized, novelty hand-food at the local fair. That’s a sorry lot for North America’s largest indigenous fowl, the one Ben Franklin his esteemed self dubbed the “Bird of Courage” and young Tad Lincoln kept as a pet in the White House.

Fact is, turkeys have been strutting around the New World for the last 10 million years, at least, and were long a mainstay of Native American diets from Pasadena to Pensacola. Recognizing a tasty and tractable entrée when they saw it, early Spanish explorers shipped specimens back home, and domesticated varieties soon graced tables across Europe. In one of those delectable ironies in which history abounds, later colonial immigrants, ignorant of the turkey’s origins and hoping to ensure a steady supply of groceries in the wilderness, hauled flocks of tame gobblers back across the Great Water, only to be met by a feathered welcome wagon numbering in the tens of millions. And it is that original turkey, the alpha bird, Adam to a race of self-timing Butterballs, to which we pay homage today.

Nature's malcontent

Once teeming across forest, prairie and desert, by the early 1900s the wild turkey had been hunted nearly to extinction, falling to perhaps less than 30,000 specimens. In 1937, Congress passed the Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration Act, assessing taxes on firearms, ammunition and other hunting equipment, which funds were instrumental in bringing Franklin’s virtuous bird back from the brink. Government efforts were amply supplemented by civilian conservation organizations, most notably the National Wild Turkey Federation (NWTF). Founded in Virginia about 40 years ago, the nation’s premier club dedicated to the protection and proliferation of the wild turkey now boasts a half-million members from sea to shining sea.

These days, wild turkeys number nearly 8 million covering every one of the contiguous 48 states, plus smaller portions of Canada and Mexico. Of those, more than 5 million are of the prolific Eastern variety, which can be found scratching and pecking from the Atlantic to the mighty Mississippi and from the Great Lakes to the Gulf. Rugged conditions in the American West, however, call for a smarter, scrappier, more independent-minded bird. In these parts, the regal Merriam’s is the turkey to watch.

turkey-2Something like 25,000 free-range turkeys now list a Colorado address, most of them Merriam’s, although a community of transplanted Rio Grandes call the South Platte home and a few Gould’s have somehow mistaken Pueblo for the northern mountains of Mexico. In these parts, several thriving clans of Merriam’s make the Foothills a happy hunting ground for folks seeking a more authentic Thanksgiving experience. There’s a reason it’s called “Turkey Creek”, after all.

Wild turkeys are represented locally by two NWTF subsidiary flocks. The Mount Evans Merriam’s chapter numbers more than 250 avid members operating in western Jefferson County and parts of Clear Creek and Park counties. Lower down, the 400-strong Front Range chapter can boast more than 400 members and the distinction of being the oldest NWTF off-shoot west of the Mississippi. The Front Range group’s brief encompasses a broad swath running along both sides of the Hogback from Longmont to Castle Rock.

Like many wildlife organizations, the National Wild Turkey Federation contains a heavy concentration of hunters. And like many organizations comprised largely of hunters, the majority of the NWTF’s activities have nothing at all to do with hunting.

“We’re first and foremost about conservation,” explains a source deep inside the Mount Evans Merriam’s. “Most of what we do is create and restore turkey habitat. And what’s good for the turkeys is good for every other animal in the forest, so by maintaining good turkey habitat, the whole forest is healthier.”

A favorable climate

But if the hills are alive with wild turkeys, how come you rarely see them? Chances are, it’s because they saw you first. Meleagris gallopavo merriami’s eyesight is about 10 times keener than your own, and it doesn’t invite familiarity. Indeed, far from the slow-witted creature of popular imagination, the wild turkey is a canny customer. Able to fly short distances at speeds up to 55mph, a typical Merriam’s spends its days feeding among thick, concealing brush, then retires for the night in the branches of a handy cottonwood or ponderosa pine, safely out of harm’s way. And except for their signature “drumming” during the spring mating season, wild turkeys aren’t given to calling attention to themselves.

For you, however, sitting there in front of a steaming plate of butter-soaked stuffing and marshmallow-slathered yams, the operative question is “are wild turkeys good to eat?” The answer is “yum.”

Although among the smaller breeds of wild turkey, the adult Merriam’s averages a respectable 15 to 20 pounds – easily competitive with your grocery-store Tom. And, like the ubiquitous Broad-breasted White, the wild gobbler responds favorably to all manner of preparation techniques.

“I usually take the breast, wrap a pound of bacon around each half, and smoke it,” divulges our Merriam’s informant. “It’s delicious.”

And so, with loved ones gathered close and the year’s best feed arrayed before you, perhaps you’ll give a thought to the long and distinguished pedigree represented in your nicely browned culinary centerpiece, and reflect on your meal’s wild cousins and those among your neighbors who labor tirelessly on their behalf.

Now give thanks for your many blessings, and dig in.

A handsome bird

The Word is Bird

 

 

 

We recommend that no one eat more than two tons of turkey – that’s what it would take to poison someone. Elizabeth Whelan, American Council on Science and Health

 

 

A Season to Share

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It has many names.

 

 

 

 

Some call it “collaborative consumption.” To others it’s a “peer-to-peer” economy. People who deem it the enlightened financial foundation of tomorrow’s Global Village like to think of it as a “Peoples’ Economy.” Call it what you will, it’s a hot and heavy marriage of convenience between the ancient concept of communal resource management and the awesome connective power of smart-phone technology, with cyber-switchboards like Airbnb, Uber and TaskRabbit officiating.

Benita Matofska, “Chief Sharer” down at “The People Who Share”, describes it as “…a socio-economic ecosystem built around the sharing of human and physical resources” that includes “the shared creation, production, distribution, trade and consumption of goods and services by different people and organizations.”

iNeedyouHavePut into shorter words, it’s them what ain’t gots putting the touch on them what gots. Car on the fritz? A neighbor will be happy to drive you. Not up for another night at the Airport Hilton? Sack out in somebody’s spare bedroom. Too busy to pick up the dry cleaning? There’s a peer out there who’ll grab your garbardines and snag your supper while they’re at it. Need a gas-powered shingle froe but don’t want to buy one just to froe, like, two shingles? It’s a safe bet there’s a guy nearby who’ll let you use his.

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“The Sharing Economy encompasses the following aspects,” Matofska intones. “Swapping, exchanging, collective purchasing, collaborative consumption, shared ownership, shared value, co-operatives, co-creation, recycling, upcycling, re-distribution, trading used goods, renting, borrowing, lending, subscription based models, peer-to-peer, collaborative economy, circular economy, pay-as-you-use economy, wikinomics, peer-to-peer lending, micro-financing, micro-entrepreneurship, social media, the Mesh, social enterprise, futurology, crowdfunding, crowdsourcing, cradle-to-cradle, open source, open data, and user generated content.”

Upcycling?

Anyway, the Sharing Economy is all about private citizens doing for other private citizens. But one thing it’s absolutely not about is sharing. It’s about money, and lots of it.

Largely untaxed and unregulated, the Sharing Economy is gloves-off laissez-faire capitalism for the Age of Aquarius, a Libertarian’s free-market feast served on a bed of crisp collectivist ideology. Because if that Lyft driver will get you home from the recycling center for less than Yellow Cab can, he’s sure not going to do it for nothing. And while that privately-owned one-bedroom loft only blocks from dining and entertainment is a steal at just $125 a night, it’s, um, $125 a night.

sharing-new-shoppingThe completely reasonable theory behind the Sharing Economy is that folks with unused, or under-utilized, resources such as cars, beds and gas-powered shingle froes can make them available to folks who need them, thereby maximizing economic efficiency for all. Whatever their political perspectives, most people will agree that letting the Little Guy put his assets to work without a lot of fuss and flack from Uncle Sam is a good thing. The thing is, the bridges connecting the resource-full with the resource-less are a growing number of online “platforms”, essentially passive brokers that take a generous slice of every peer-to-peer transaction that flashes across their out-stretched electronic palms.

How generous? In the 10 years since the peer-to-peer (P2P, in the lingo) economy started moving beyond eBay and into areas of commerce from lodging to lending and from dry goods to desk space, no fewer than 17 self-styled Sharing Economy platforms have grown into billion-dollar businesses on the strength of a 10- to 30-percent piece of the action . True, there are a handful of peer-to-peer exchanges that don’t charge for introductions, but they represent a drop in the collaborative bucket alongside cash-flush companies like $1 billion FundingCircle, $2 billion Instacart, $4 billion Airbnb, and transportation giant Uber, which does business in more than 100 cities in 35 countries and was lately valued at a whopping $40 billion for doing exactly what Metro Taxi does, except not actually doing it. Fact is, in many cases the only people not getting rich off of the Peoples’ Economy are the people directly involved in it.

whats-mine-is-yoursUber drivers, for example, are essentially freelance laborers who must conform to the company’s equipment requirements, often requiring a substantial capital investment, and do all of their own maintenance. They have to charge Uber-approved fares that are considerably less than those charged by conventional taxi services, meaning they consistently earn less per mile than traditional hacks. And as independent “entrepreneurs” they get none of the corporate driver’s benefits and wage-security while bearing all of the job’s attendant risks.

“It’s true that, in many ways, sharing-economy jobs can offer more autonomy than traditional employer-employee relationships,” writes Washington Post columnist Catherine Rampell. “But there’s a dark side to these work arrangements that gets considerably less press: the shifting of risk off corporate balance sheets and onto the shoulders of individual Americans, who may not even realize what kinds of liabilities they’re taking on.”

For that matter, the wholesale replacement of middle-class transportation jobs with lower-paying Uber and Lyft drivers is a sure-fire short-cut to crashing tax revenues and rising individual economic instability. But it would be unfair to pick on P2P transportation companies without exploring the unintended consequences of the Sharing Economy’s thriving hospitality trade. It would be perfectly fair, on the other hand, to pick on San Francisco’s recent experiences, seeing as how the City by the Bay is widely recognized at the cradle of collaborative consumption as we now know it.

In concept, platforms like Airbnb, FlipKey and Roomorama connect private citizens seeking an inexpensive place to flop with private citizens willing to rent out a spare bedroom or temporarily unoccupied personal living space on a short-term basis. It’s all very informal, of course, and completely non-commercial, and guests enjoy a cheap and perhaps interesting accommodation while John and Jane Q. Property-Owner are spared the burdensome regulation and taxes to which professional innkeepers are subject. Thing is, there’s a loophole there big enough to swallow the Orchard Hotel, pool, parlor and penthouse. By listing a long-term rental on Airbnb instead of “trivago”, many a penny-pinching apartment, condo and house owner are happily and profitably leasing their dedicated income property under the table, as it were, and John and Jane Q. Everbody-Else are paying for it with crippling housing shortages and soaring rents.

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“The (San Francisco Chronicle) found nearly 5,000 apartments, houses and rooms listed for rent (on Airbnb) during one random day in May,” writes Dara Kerr of CNET. “Of these short-term rentals, nearly two-thirds were entire houses or apartments, and 160 of these were rented full time.”

Presumably thanks in no small part to the Sharing Economy, the average two-bedroom flat in San Francisco currently rents for about $3,500. Airbnb, on the other hand, would not so presume.

“The overwhelming majority of Airbnb hosts in San Francisco share only the home in which they live,” Kerr quotes a company spokeswoman as saying, “and use the additional income they earn to pay their rents or mortgages and pursue their dreams.”

hotelpillowcqx-largeDespite the naysayers who insist the Sharing Economy is killing middle-class jobs and putting countless essential skilled workers behind the wheel instead of behind a desk, the concept is sound and getting louder all the time. At last count, something like 250,000 Uber drivers are hauling something like 1 million fares every day, and both numbers are predicted to double before Christmas. Airbnb lists more than 1.5 million rental properties – including 1,400 castles – and with more than 40 million mints on 40 million pillows and counting, the service recently surpassed both InterContinental Hotels Group and Hilton Worldwide to become the planet’s biggest hotelier. And that, says Matofska, is only the beginning.

“Whilst the Sharing Economy is currently in its infancy,known most notably as a series of services and start-ups which enable P2P exchanges through technology, this is only the beginning,” intones the Sharer in Chief. “In its entirety and potential it is a new and alternative socio-economic system which embeds sharing and collaboration at its heart and across all aspects of social and economic life.”

Whilst?

In any case, journalist Susie Cagle has her own name for Matofska’s “new and alternative socio-economic system.”

london-match-seller-greenwich-1884_l130116“The Sharing Economy’s success is inextricably tied to the recent recession, making new American poverty palatable,” Cagle writes. “It’s disaster capitalism.”

 

The Path Not Taken

When Tom Hornbein takes the podium at the Rocky Mountain Literary Festival on Oct. 17, he’ll be standing on familiar ground.

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As a professor and chairman of the department of anesthesiology at the University of Washington in Seattle, the energetic 84-year-old has addressed many a capacity audience. As a dedicated researcher in the field of high-altitude physiology and performance he’s delivered many a scholarly paper to many a scholarly panel. And as a celebrated mountaineer and author of “Everest: The West Ridge” he’s recounted one of the most remarkable stories in the history of human endeavor more times than he’d care to count.

 

 

And yet, looking ahead to his engagement at Mount Vernon Country Club next month, Hornbein has no idea what he’s going to say. And that’s just the way he likes it.

“I don’t really prepare anything,” explains Hornbein, sitting comfortably in the sun room of his Estes Park home. Moss-rock covers the interior walls. A spotting scope standing within easy reach is trained on the summit of Longs Peak. Outside, an enormous herd of imported Wyoming goats is busily shaving the front yard. “I like a little bit of uncertainty.”

Uncertainty – the lure of it, the pursuit of it, the conquest of it – has been a bedrock principle guiding Hornbein’s life since long before he ever recognized that fact. And the consequences and lessons of a lifetime of deliberate uncertainty have certainly given Hornbein plenty to talk about.

If asked, he might talk about growing up in Saint Louis, and about how he used to spend every summer at Camp Cheley in Devil’s Gulch outside of Estes Park, first as a camper and later as a counselor, glorying in the majesty and mystery of the high Rocky Mountains. He loved mountaineering literature, inhaling early Himalayan classics such as “High Conquest” and “Kingdom of Adventure – Everest” like a man gulping oxygen at 28,000 feet.

“They were just fantasies to a kid like me,” Hornbein smiles. “I never really thought I’d ever go to that part of the world.”

Hornbein studied geology at the University of Colorado in Boulder for a time, worked as a naturalist in Rocky Mountain National Park, and volunteered with mountain rescue teams. And when the sedate observation of rocks began to seem too rigid a discipline compared with the perpetual unknowns presented by the never-ending duel between Man and Nature, he changed course toward medicine and found himself working in a Navy hospital in San Diego.

In 1962 the Cold War was at its frostiest. No American, nor any Soviet, had yet planted a flag atop the “Goddess Mother of the World” and there was considerable interest in powerful quarters that the Stars and Stripes got there before the Hammer and Sickle. A prominent mountaineer named Norman Dyhrenfurth was putting together an expedition to do exactly that, and he invited an old climbing companion to come along. Given the opportunity to make his childhood fantasies real, Hornbein didn’t take too much persuading.

“I wanted to do something that I didn’t know whether it could be done,” says Hornbein. “I guess I needed that uncertainty.”

In fact, uncertainty played an essential role in Hornbein’s now-legendary1963 assault on Everest. In order to secure sufficient funding for the expedition – and to give it a politically benign gloss of respectability – certain researches were to be conducted on the mountain, including studies into what Hornbein’s friend and fellow mountaineer, sociologist Dick Emerson, called the “Uncertainty Principle.”

“His thesis was that motivation is maximized when the outcome is uncertain,” Hornbein explains. “When we climbed Everest there was definitely enough uncertainty.”

westridgeIn Hornbein’s case, as it turned out, there was nothing but. While the expedition’s major press was to be against Everest’s well-charted South Col, a handful of climbers including Hornbein lobbied hard for a second front along the mountain’s untried and insanely perilous West Ridge. Most members of the expedition gave Hornbein’s proposal exactly no chance for success. Hornbein and his companions deemed it barely possible, and that was enough.

HornbeinOnMt

 

 

Spoiler Alert – On May 22, 1963, Hornbein and three companions endured appalling dangers and unimaginable hardships to become the first mountaineers to reach Mount Everest’s summit by the West Ridge. A particularly difficult feature of their route now bears the name “Hornbein Couloir” And by descending Everest via the South Col, the party also became the first to accomplish a traverse of the Earth’s highest peak.

In the long years since 1963 some 60 expeditions have dared the West Ridge. A scant six have succeeded, placing 14 climbers on top of the world at a cost of 16 lives. In his book “Into Thin Air” author and mountaineer Jon Krakauer writes that Hornbein’s ascent “was, and continues to be, deservedly hailed as one of the great feats in the annals of mountaineering.”

Back home, Hornbein and his comrades were feted as conquering heroes and invited to breathe the rarified atmospheres of elite salons from the Explorers Club to the White House. For his part, Hornbein did his best to avoid the spotlight.

“When we were climbing I didn’t know or care how it would be viewed by the world. Afterward, I just wanted to get back to my life.”

Still, he considered certain aspects of the experience worthy of record. The expedition’s restrained and responsive leadership, for example, the mature and respectful temperaments of its hand-picked rank and file, and its uniquely democratic organization – he wrote about all of that and more in “Everest: The West Ridge.”

“I thought about calling it ‘Everest: The World’s Highest Metaphor’” he says, only half joking. “It would have given me open season to say whatever I wanted.”

What Hornbein ended up saying in The West Ridge has ever since been acclaimed as among the finest works of mountaineering literature ever penned. Rich in imagery, high in drama, immensely readable, The West Ridge he put a human face on that most extreme of sports, focusing on the character of the men who endured those hardships together and the relationships they forged along the way.

“To me, what was so unique about the expedition was the diversity of talents and the interaction of the people involved. I wanted to convey that the reality and the humanity of climbing a mountain is not really so different from how you succeed at anything else in your life, from your marriage, to your profession, to raising your kids.”

Hornbein conveyed that thought with powerful clarity, and then he went back to his life. While he never lost his passion for the mountains, the great reach of Hornbein’s life after the West Ridge has been grounded in medicine. And, having once been made aware of it, he’s come to see the powerful force of uncertainty at work everywhere around him.

“I found out I love research – the uncertainty of the hypothesis, and trying to prove the outcome. In science, different views increase uncertainty, and uncertainty leads to more thoughtful problem-solving.”

Even his decision in 2006 to leave Seattle for his boyhood haunts seems to validate Emerson’s theory.

“It’s the Uncertainty Principle again,” Hornbein smiles. “After I retired I needed to find new challenges.”

When the author of “Everest: The West Ridge” takes the podium at the Rocky Mountain Literary Festival on Oct. 17, it’s dead-certain he’ll say something worth hearing. Just don’t bother asking him what it will be.

“It’s better if there’s a little uncertainty.”

Hornbein

Thinking Machines

Time-traveler Kyle Reese hunches in the driver’s seat next to Sarah Connor. She’s confused, panicky, and cute as a button. Reese’s dirty-blond hair is stylishly mussed, his artfully scarred face sweaty, and streaked with grime just-so.

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“Defense network computers,” rasps Reese. “New… powerful… hooked into everything and trusted to run it all.”

Sounds serious. And it’s surely something Connor should find interesting, what with Arnold Schwarzenegger dogging her like the Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse. Even so, she seems to have trouble focusing.

“They say it got smart,” continues Reese, slamming another shell into the 12-gauge shotgun on his lap. “A new order of intelligence…Decided our fate in a microsecond. Extermination.”

schwarzThe Terminator is an awesome movie because, even way back in the technological Dark Age of 1984, it wasn’t hard to believe that one day soon there’d be robots walking among us, sophisticated machines doing what they do without so much as a by-your-leave from feckless and fragile Homo sapiens sapiens. And it’s only easier to believe now, in this more refined era of talking phones and Google drones and wristwatches that can guess what you might want for lunch, maybe. But it’s a long walk from GPS-guided lawn mowers to metal-punk kill-bots from the future, and, at the moment, everything fashioned by the hand of Man must also be guided by it. The goal of self-directed machines remains elusive, and will remain so until scientists working in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) solve a couple of particularly prickly problems.

planktonA truly “thinking” machine must, at bare minimum, be capable of doing two things that people, puppies and plankton do without thinking. First, a genuinely autonomous device must be able to process vast amounts of information instantaneously to produce a minutely accurate real-time understanding of its environment. Although the vast and constantly expanding universe of Internet databases and increasingly agile optics may allow a machine to feast on all the same information that its creator can, and probably more, the breakdown occurs in digestion. Current computer architecture manages information in a rigid series of logical steps. It’s an orderly and reliable process that can tot up a spreadsheet in the blink of an eye, but that quickly becomes overwhelmed by the flood of data presented by sensory input like vision. Sure, your PC can handle it, it just can’t handle it fast enough to permit practical autonomy. And yet…

google-deepmind-artificial-intelligence brain

 

Last year, scientists working at separate laboratories across the country simultaneously unveiled their own versions of the “neurochip,” a microprocessor that mimics the inner workings of the human bean. To understand how, consider that your brain contains something like 100 billion cells connected by 100 trillion synapses. 

Rather than passing every impulse Bender_Rodriguezalong in restricted linear fashion, each neuron in your brain communicates directly with thousands of others, allowing the parallel processing of almost unlimited input. At present, IBM’s neurochip prototype, “TrueNorth”, contains 5.4 billion transistors and 256 million electronic “synapses” that together can process information far faster and more fluently than your one-thing-at-a-time Pentium can. And while that’s a baby step toward achieving even plankton’s mental acuity, it’s a giant leap toward creating an electronic “brain”, and IBM is already exploring ways to connect individual neurochips together into the kind of faux-neural network that could one day drive, say, a Cyberdyne Systems Model 101 cybernetic infiltration unit on a hyper-alloy combat chassis.

robbyThe second basic skill an “intelligent” device must master is doing things without being told exactly when and how to do them. No matter how smart the car, phone, or drone, it simply cannot do anything it’s not told to do. Our theoretical autonomous robot can adapt to an ever-changing and unpredictable environment. To do so, it must instantly identify and assess a potentially huge number of possible variables, arrive at a wholly independent “decision” based on nothing more than its own self-processed input, and originate action in the absence of situation-specific programming. For the armies of roboticists working the puzzle, the goal is to create an appliance that, given a clearly-defined “mission,” will figure out how to achieve that end all by itself. Needless to say they’re not there yet, but they recently came a little closer with the development of new software and sensory apparatus that help machines become not only more aware of their surroundings, but able to perform rudimentary tasks cooperatively.

Armed with those new technologies, scientists recently turned loose about 1,000 robots, each about the size of your thumbnail. On command, the devices assorted themselves into squares, letters and sundry other shapes with no help from their keepers.

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You’re thinking, “A bunch of wind-up toys made an ‘X’ – what’s on TV tonight?”

Actually, each of a thousand self-directing machines was ordered to create something that it couldn’t possibly make by itself. Each one kept a clear picture of the objective in its tiny electronic noggin while maintaining a constant awareness of its precise position relative to all 999 of its shifting, shuffling mates. Each robot independently adjusted its location within the evolving scheme until the mission was accomplished. And they did it all by themselves.

jetsonsTogether, those AI breakthroughs are beginning to satisfy the requirements for robotic independence. The evolution of neurochips may one day make it possible for machines to process information with organic efficiency, and cooperative software improvements will likely confer the environmental awareness they’ll need to navigate complex real-world situations. Granted, making a scraggly triangle isn’t in the same league with systematically annihilating the human race, but warts of the worrying kind are quick to assure that some form of brutal “Skynet” is inevitable if we persist in trying to build a better autopilot.

Leaving questions of potential AI self-awareness and spirituality to philosophers and theologians, should we be concerned by the prospect of intelligent machines? Done right, they’d be both smarter than us, stronger than us, and if we don’t get along for some reason things could get awkward in a hurry.

nomadAsk the folks who spend their weekdays messing around with AI and they’ll assure you that thinking robots will be pussycats because they don’t think anything like we do. Their electronic minds won’t be subject to deadly sins like greed and envy, pride and wrath – all those base impulses that make humans so dangerous to be around. Ask Oxford University philosophy professor Nick Bostrom, on the other hand, and he’ll say it’s precisely because they won’t be carrying any human emotional baggage that smart-bots might easily slip their leashes and chew our collective slippers into oblivion. They’re just too darned task-oriented.

Even smart machines, Bostrom asserts, would be programmed to execute specific, exclusive and imperative tasks, such as calculating the precise amount of tea in China, or making widgets. While an appliance imbued with reason wouldn’t be angling to corner the market on Oolong, or give a fig what happens to all the widgets it produces, it must necessarily care a great deal about sustaining its ability to perform its particular function. Keeping track of the world’s supply of Orange Pekoe, for example, would demand unfettered access to mountains of relevant source data. Manufacturing widgets would require a secure supply of whatever physical resources widgets are made out of. And neither function would be possible without an uninterrupted flow of electrical power.

chinaTea“An agent with such a final goal would have a convergent instrumental reason to acquire an unlimited amount of physical resources and, if possible, to eliminate potential threats to itself and its goal system,” explains Bostrom, in his down-home, folksy, Oxford way. “We cannot blithely assume that a super-intelligence would limit its activities in such a way as to not infringe on human interests. The first super-intelligence could easily have non-anthropomorphic final goals, and would likely have an instrumental reason to pursue open-ended resource acquisition.

a-il_series_cylon_lucifer_in_battlestar_galactica_1978-810272“If we now reflect that human beings consist of useful resources (such as conveniently located atoms) and that we depend for our survival on many more local resources, we can see that the outcome could easily be one in which humanity quickly becomes extinct.”

A grim prognosis, and certainly one open to debate. But we can’t say we haven’t been warned.

“Listen and understand,” pleads Reese, struggling against two beefy orderlies. “It can’t be bargained with. It can’t be reasoned with. It doesn’t feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And it absolutely will not stop – ever! – until you are dead.”

Awesome movie.

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Highs ‘n’ Lows

 

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If you’ve lived in Colorado for any length of time, you know the sun in these parts can be deleterious to the dermis.

And you’ve probably been read-in on four-bit mountain maladies like hypoxia, cerebral edema and hypobaropathy. Yet you’ve gladly accepted those risks in exchange for the wide reaches and long views available only in these rare-air regions. But before you get too comfortable, understand that science, in its never-ending quest to find new things to be upset about, has recently uncovered a new and frightening way in which our skyscraping home is trying to kill us.

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The unholy alliance between altitude and suicide was first publicly noted in Utah. Frequently polling as the “happiest state” in the Union, the Beehive State also boasts the nation’s highest “depression index”, its highest use of antidepressant drugs and, most significantly, one if its highest suicide rates. A neuroscientist with the University of Utah named Perry Renshaw dubbed the disparity the “Utah Paradox” and started gathering statistics to explain it.

Renshaw’s conclusion? Residents of Orem kill themselves more often that folks in Orlando, because they’re…well…higher. Scientists in Austria and South Korea have reached similar conclusions, and after studying 2,584 counties from sea-level to shining sea-level, researchers with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) cautiously concur.

“Altitude is strongly associated with suicide rates,” reads their 2011 abstract. “This novel finding is not explained by county differences in demographic factors, income, or geographic isolation.”

That qualifier was welcomed with poor grace by a chorus of gun-control advocates, sociologists and mental health professionals that had immediately ascribed Renshaw’s discovery to various other factors peculiar to the Mountain West, such as a greater incidence of gun ownership, more remote living circumstances and less access to mental health services. In fact, the CDC considered all of those variables, and more, before reaching the guarded conclusion that altitude matters.

ef4dcbb96aa6dbf1fd3d5a0cd1ca73f0If you graph suicide rates on a map, what emerges is a broad band of self-destruction centered squarely on the Rocky Mountain corridor and bleeding west into the Great Basin. A CDC report for 2012 sets the national suicide rate at 12.6 per 100,000. Listed in descending order of auto-mortality, the most suicide-prone states in the nation that year were Wyoming (29.6), Alaska (23.0), Montana (22.6), New Mexico (21.3), Utah (21.0), Colorado (19.7), Idaho (19.7), Nevada (18.2), Oregon (18.0) and Oklahoma (17.8). 

On the brighter end of the scale, states with lowest suicide rates also tend to be lower-slung. Witness Rhode Island at 9.5, Massachusetts at 8.7, New York at 8.3, New Jersey at 7.4, and, curiously enough, Washington, D.C. at 5.7, the lowest rate in the nation.

No matter how you crunch them, the numbers lean to the lofty, although Renshaw insists the phenomenon is discernible at elevations as low as 2,000 feet. And if Alaska’s unfortunate second-place showing seems a bit anomalous, consider that while most of the Last Frontier isn’t all that high, it tends to be dark, and that’s not good for anybody’s head.

Pitkin3Closer to home, the tragic association between altitude and suicide is even easier to follow. The great mass of precipitous playgrounds that are Gilpin, Clear Creek, Park, Lake, Teller, Chaffee, Fremont and Custer counties routinely surpass the state average in suicides, while the counties of the plains – particularly the northeastern plains – consistently come in well below it. In 2010, upland and upscale Pitkin County, with a mean elevation of 9,940 feet, posted the sad toll of about 35 suicides per 100,000, the worst in the state by a solid margin. Down-to-earth Otero County, at a more modest 4,500 feet above the sea, was relieved to report a rate of just 14.9 during the same period. For what it’s worth, middle-class and middle-of-the-road Jeffco neatly split the difference with an average elevation of 7,055 feet and a suicide rate of just over 18 lost per 100,000 souls.

But quoting statistics is easy. Explaining them not so much. How do the thinking classes account for the fact that Intermountain West dwellers are up to 30 percent more likely to kill themselves on purpose than their down-slope countrymen? According to Renshaw, it’s a mental problem.

Protracted exposure to the relatively low oxygen levels at high altitudes appears to affect serotonin and dopamine levels in the brain. Serotonin and dopamine are the two chemicals most responsible for telling your brain to feel happy. Serotonin helps stabilize the emotions, while dopamine helps focus the mind. Women, in particular, are at risk of altitude-related mood disorders, since they generally run on about half as much serotonin as men. Exactly how altitude unbalances those essential ingredients of a contented bean is not known, but it’s hard to question the results.

Assault courseTo pick one example, a 2005 study by the Naval Health Research Center evaluated a group of Marines before and after they left their San Diego base for a month of intensive physical training in the Sierras. The soldiers returned physically more fit, but in mental and emotional shambles. Not only were they far more irritable, moody, anxious and distracted than when they left, in almost every case those symptoms persisted for at least 90 days.

AFA_GraduatesTo pick another, a surprisingly high percentage of new instructors at the United State Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs bug out after just a few months, typically citing depression and an inability to concentrate. What’s more, cadets hailing from higher altitudes consistently out-perform their lowland-bred classmates. In both cases, the unhappiness and loss of mental acuity can neatly be explained by altitude-adjusted serotonin and dopamine levels. But is it enough to turn thoughts to suicide?

Renshaw proposes that while most people can shrug off a moderate serotonin/dopamine tweak, it’s likely that some people, especially those suffering from severe stress, depression, anxiety or some other pre-existing mental ailment, simply can’t. Thin air can be the five of clubs that brings down the whole house of cards. On the other hand, altitude isn’t apt to push anybody over the cliff unless they’re already standing on the edge.

Top-10-Evil-Scientists-in-the-HistoryNot surprisingly, there may soon be a pill for that. Top American chemists are even now laboring to develop an all-natural dietary supplement they claim will ease the effects of high-elevation respiration. Curiously enough, if you’re reading this you may never need it, because there’s one more paradox that bears mention.

In grilling countless subjects, Renshaw noticed a pronounced tendency in people transplanted from low altitude to high altitude to spend a lot of time moaning about the mountains and pining for their sea-level roots. Just as often, however, former Intermountain West residents who’d suffered geographical demotion described feeling fatigued and scatter-brained and urgently drawn by “the call of the mountains.” A significant percentage, in fact, only escaped those persistent symptoms by fleeing back to their erstwhile aeries.

Sure, that could be sentimentality in action, a purely psychosomatic response, but it could also represent a genuine physiological adaptation to the rigors of thin air. As Renshaw explains, oxygen-poor air typically increases the brain’s dopamine levels, much as a margarita, a Valium or fat spliff would. What those innocents abroad may have been missing is, quite literally, a Rocky Mountain high.

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